The End of the Policy Analyst? Testing the Capability of Artificial Intelligence to Generate Plausible, Persuasive, and Useful Policy Analysis

dc.contributor.advisorLongo, Justin
dc.contributor.authorSafaei, Mehrdad
dc.contributor.committeememberDupeyron, Bruno
dc.contributor.committeememberPhillips, Peter
dc.contributor.externalexaminerSavard, Jean-Francois
dc.date.accessioned2022-08-05T16:57:10Z
dc.date.available2022-08-05T16:57:10Z
dc.date.issued2021-10
dc.descriptionA Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of Graduate Studies and Research In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Public Policy, University of Regina. vii, 155 p.en_US
dc.description.abstractPublic servants provide support for decision makers through synthesis documents such as briefing notes. To develop recommendations for dealing with the problem, they use a variety of sources for research and analysis. This current research seeks to assess opportunities and challenges regarding the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in public sector administration and policy development, focusing on whether AI can serve as a supplement and potential replacement for human policy analysts. The research questions focus on whether AI can plausibly ‘do’ policy analysis, support what human policy analysts currently do, and—based on those assessments—whether academia and governments need to reconsider what it means to teach and undertake policy analysis. This research tests these questions empirically by first creating briefing notes in three categories: AI generated; AI supported; and human created. Two panels of experts made up of retired senior public servants were then asked to judge the briefing notes from the perspective of a senior public sector decision maker (e.g., Deputy Minister) using a heuristic evaluation rubric to grade each note. I report on their evaluations as a basis for assessing whether current NLP technology is capable of generating plausible, persuasive, and useful policy analysis.en_US
dc.description.authorstatusStudenten
dc.description.peerreviewyesen
dc.identifier.tcnumberTC-SRU-15005
dc.identifier.thesisurlhttps://ourspace.uregina.ca/bitstream/handle/10294/15005/Safaei_Mehrdad_MPP_Spring2022.pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10294/15005
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherFaculty of Graduate Studies and Research, University of Reginaen_US
dc.subjectArtificial intelligence, briefing note, machine learning, GPT-2, natural language processing, policy analysis, decision making, policy cycle 2en_US
dc.titleThe End of the Policy Analyst? Testing the Capability of Artificial Intelligence to Generate Plausible, Persuasive, and Useful Policy Analysisen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
thesis.degree.departmentJohnson-Shoyama Graduate School of Public Policyen_US
thesis.degree.disciplinePublic Policyen_US
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Reginaen
thesis.degree.levelMaster'sen
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Public Policy (MPP)en_US
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