Effects of lake warming on the seasonal risk of toxic cyanobacteria exposure

dc.contributor.authorHayes, Nicole M.
dc.contributor.authorHaig, Heather A.
dc.contributor.authorSimpson, Gavin L.
dc.contributor.authorLeavitt, Peter R.
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-28T18:02:31Z
dc.date.available2023-04-28T18:02:31Z
dc.date.issued2020-06-18
dc.description© 2020 The Authors. Limnology and Oceanography Letters published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.en_US
dc.description.abstractIncidence of elevated harmful algal blooms and concentrations of microcystin are increasing globally as a result of human-mediated changes in land use and climate. However, few studies document changes in the seasonal and interannual concentrations of microcystin in lakes. Here, we modeled 11 yr of biweekly microcystin data from six lakes to characterize the seasonal patterns in microcystin concentration and to ascertain if there were pronounced changes in the patterns of potential human exposure to microcystin in lakes of central North America. Bayesian time series analysis with generalized additive models found evidence for a regional increase in microcystin maxima and duration but recorded high variation among lakes. During the past decade, warmer temperatures, but not nutrient levels, led to a marked increase in the number of days when concentrations exceeded drinking and recreational water thresholds set by the World Health Organization and United States Environmental Protection Agency.en_US
dc.description.authorstatusFacultyen_US
dc.description.peerreviewyesen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the NSERC Canada Discovery Grants program, Canada Research Chairs, Canada Foundation for Innovation, the Province of Saskatchewan, Queen's University Belfast, and the University of Regina.en_US
dc.identifier.citationHayes, N.M., Haig, H.A., Simpson, G.L. and Leavitt, P.R. (2020), Effects of lake warming on the seasonal risk of toxic cyanobacteria exposure. Limnol Oceanogr Lett, 5: 393-402. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10164en_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10164
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10294/15896
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherWileyen_US
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.titleEffects of lake warming on the seasonal risk of toxic cyanobacteria exposureen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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